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Can LUNA Recover to Previous Highs Following Historic Crash?

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Can LUNA Recover to Previous Highs Following Historic Crash?
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The recent Terra (LUNA) crash might be worse than most traders who swooped in earlier in the crash failed to realize. One of the most critical setbacks being overlooked is inflation.

Terraform Labs was forced to halt Terra blockchain after the historic crash but might have done so a little too late. The recent UST crash triggered hyperinflation in LUNA, which caused the total supply of tokens to rise dramatically from 350 million to a whopping 6.5 trillion or 18,571x.

The crash was exacerbated earlier on with LUNA investors dumping tokens at an alarming rate, which resulted in the cryptocurrency crashing by 99%. Terra later crashed by another 99% to $0.1, and two more 99% declines, falling to a historic low of $0.00000112 against Binance USD (BUSD). This crash was worsened by another crash in Bitcoin and the stock market.

Recovery Above $1 Mathematically Impossible for LUNA, Except…

The main question on the lips of many is: “can LUNA recover from this to its previous highs of over $100?” For this to happen, a massive burn of LUNA tokens needs to occur; the 6.5 trillion tokens in circulation need to be cut to somewhere near 350 million. However, this is no easy task.

Already, the Terra team appears to be leaning towards a much easier recovery option, forking.

In a sense, LUNA, with its current supply standing, returning to just $1 is mathematically impossible. A rise to $1 with its current supply of 6.5 trillion would give Terra a valuation of $6.5 trillion. At its peak in November 2021, the entire crypto market had a valuation of $3 trillion.

At its current state, the best LUNA can do is return to its pre-crash valuation of $40 billion, which would give each token a value of $0.00615.

With this explanation, you begin to see the improbability of LUNA returning above $1 if the Terra team refuses to burn a massive amount of supply.

 

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